Final poll results before elections
Several public opinion polls were released last week looking at El Salvador's March 1 elections. While there is variation among all of the polls, I think the consensus view of the polls would be:
- Salvadorans view crime as the top problem facing the country.
- The FMLN will have the most votes for deputies in the National Assembly (somewhere around 35-40%), but will not achieve a majority. ARENA will have the next highest vote total.
- Nayib Bukele will win in San Salvador, allowing the FMLN to retake the mayor's office in the country's largest city for the first time in six years.
- Most voters will vote for deputies by marking the symbol of their preferred political party, but a measurable number (10-20%) will engage in newly permitted "cross-voting" for candidates of multiple political parties.
You can view all the poll results at the links below.
La Prensa Grafica
El Diario de Hoy
La Pagina published a compilation of all the recent polls on the San Salvador mayor's race: