Early poll shows FMLN in lead to retake San Salvador mayor seat

A poll released last week by CID-Gallup, showed the FMLN's candidate Nayib Bukele with an 18 point margin over his closest challenger, Edwin Zamora of ARENA.   Bukele led 43% to 25% with 32% of respondents expressing no opinion.

I think it is a little too early to assume that the FMLN has an easy path to retake the capital city.   Zamora has to catch up after a late start when current mayor Norman Quijano bowed out of the race at the last minute.  

The political leaning of San Salvador is not easy to predict.  The current lead of the FMLN contrasts with the landslide victory of ARENA and Norman Quijano in the mayoral race in 2012.  Earlier this year, Norman Quijano garnered an 11% advantage over Salvador Sanchez Ceren among votes cast for president in San Salvador.

There are four months to go before the March 1, 2015 elections of mayors and deputies to the National Assembly.